In December 2009, the Brookings Institute ran a simulation of an Israeli strike against Iranian nuclear facilities, with three teams assuming the roles of American, Israeli, and Iranian decision makers. During the simulation, Hizbullah responded to Israel’s attack on Iran by firing over 100 rockets into Israel per day.
The Israeli team’s response? After intially heeding American calls for restraint (in the simulation, Israel struck Iran without informing the U.S. of its intent), the Israeli team ordered a 48-hour-long air campaign and special forces blitz against targets in Lebanon to prepare the way for a more extensive operation by the military’s northern command.
Participants arrived at a consensus that any Israeli strike against Iran would have to include planning for major operations against Lebanon and Gaza, as Hizbullah and Hamas were likely to involve themselves in the conflict. For Kenneth Pollack’s report on the simulation, please click here.
http://myrightword.blogspot.com/2010/08/help-needed-from-lebanese-bloggers.html
———- Forwarded message ———-
From: YMedad
Date: Sun, Aug 8, 2010 at 12:24 PM
Subject: [My Right Word] Help Needed From Lebanese Bloggers
To: yisrael.medad@gmail.com
A friend, Elliot G., suggested to me, based on some research that
the “village” of Adeisseh does not function as a real village. Rather it is a stage set village concealing shooting platforms, fortifications, etc.
If so, perhaps the location was ideal for the Hezbollah/Lebanese army to carry out an ambush.
The sniper positions perhaps were already set up. All they had to do was to get UNIFIL to get Israel to delay the tree-clearing operation. Which was a mistake on Israel’s part. There were several hours of delay which allowed the Hezb./Leb. army to bring in snipers, journalists, TV photogs and their cameras, etc.
Can any Lebanese bloggers confirm this?
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Posted By YMedad to My Right Word at 8/08/2010 12:22:00 PM